Limitations and potential bias in vital registration data and tuberculosis mortality reporting in South Africa

Abstract

Tuberculosis (TB) is a curable disease, but continues to contribute to large numbers of deaths globally and remains among the leading causes of death in South Africa (SA). Evaluating trends in TB deaths and progress towards the End TB strategy target of zero deaths is particularly important to guide policy and practice in SA. TB deaths are complicated by its relationship with HIV, and SA’s initial slow response to HIV compounded this. In considering the reported deaths in SA that identify TB as the underlying cause of death, it is important to be aware of potential limitations and sources of bias. We have examined the relationship between TB and HIV and the recording of underlying and contributing causes of death, and clarified the World Health Organization’s methodology for estimating TB deaths.