Childhood tuberculosis infection and disease: a spatial and temporal transmission analysis in a South African township

Abstract

Abstract:

Background. Tuberculosis (TB) remains a leading cause of South African mortality and morbidity. While adult TB arises from both recent and prior infection, childhood TB results from recent infection and reflects ongoing transmission occurring despite current TB control strategies.

Setting. A South African community with high rates of TB and HIV disease.

Outcomes. A Geographic Information System was used to spatially and temporally define the relationships between TB exposure, infection and disease in children <15 years of age, with exposure to adult HIV-positive and HIV-negative TB disease on residential plots between 1997 and 2007.

Results. During the study period the annual adult TB notification rate increased from 629 to 2106/100,000 and <15yrs TB notification rate ranged between 664/100,000 and 1044/100,000. The mean exposure to adult TB for uninfected children, TB-infected, TB cases was 5.1%, 5.4% and 33% per annum and the mean number of adult smear-positive cases per exposed child was 1.0, 1.6 and 1.9 respectively. Acquisition of TB infection was not associated with HIV status of adult exposure TB case and 36% of child TB cases were diagnosed prior to the temporally closest adult case on their plot.

Conclusions. Childhood infection and disease were quantitatively linked to infectious adult TB prevalence in an immediate social network. Childhood infection should be monitored in high burden settings as a marker of ongoing TB transmission. Improved knowledge of township childhood and adult social networks may also facilitate targeted active case finding, which may provide an adjunct to presently failing TB control strategies.